Commercial real estate cap rates in the U.S. 2012-2023 with a forecast until 2024
Retail properties had the highest cap rates in the United States in 2023, followed by offices. The cap rate for office real estate was 6.54 percent in the fourth quarter of the year and was forecast to rise further to 7.39 percent in 2024, reflecting the decline of office property values. Cap rates measure the expected rate of return on investment properties and are calculated by dividing the net operating income of the property by the current asset value. While a higher cap rate indicates a higher rate of return, it is also associated with higher risk.